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A pumped storage facility is a man made pond.
Water is pumped into the pond when electricity is cheep. It is
released into generators when prices are high. The profitability
of the facility depends on the volatility of hourly electricity
prices. When Select Energy wanted to acquire a pumped storage
facility, their bankers were concerned. The New England power
market was just being deregulated. Volatility was high, but might
it decline as the market matured? Select Energy turned to Glyn
Holton to prepare a technical study of how volatility developed in
other markets that emerged during the 20th century. The banks were
convinced, and Select Energy received its funding. |
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Formerly known as Andersen Consulting, Accenture
is a technology consulting firm with a focus on delivering
business solutions. Accenture's London office was performing a lot
of work for financial firms in the UK and on the continent. Their
consultants
needed to understand financial systems, and especially
value-at-risk (VaR). Accenture brought Glyn Holton in to run a one-day
training program. Downplaying technical
mathematics, the program focused on providing an intuitive
understanding of VaR and how it is used on trading floors.
Attendees enjoyed the program so much that they invited Mr.
Holton back to speak at one of their employee conferences. |
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Olam International is a Singapore based
commodities trading firm. They were using an internally developed
value-at-risk (VaR) system to monitor market risk and economic
capital. The firm was expanding and starting to trade options.
They wanted to have an expert review their VaR system and
recommend improvements. As an authority on VaR with prior
experience in commodities markets, Glyn Holton was perfect for the
job. He met with staff for four days, made specific
recommendations, and helped implement a demo VaR measure. He wrote
a technical memo detailing for Olam staff how to incorporate the
upgrades into their system. |
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The OCC is the US regulator of federally chartered
commercial banks. Their examiners perform periodic on-site reviews
of all national banks. Those who examine the largest banks need to
have expertise in many aspects of financial risk management. The
OCC turned to Glyn Holton to run a multi-day course for its top 35
examiners. He covered asset-liability management, value-at-risk,
credit risk, and capital allocation. The OCC was so pleased with
the program that they asked Mr. Holton back the next year to run a
five-day course on financial mathematics. That customized course
covered pre-calculus, calculus, probability, statistics, and
financial applications. |
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Alternatech is the US distributor for an Israeli
supercomputer manufacturer. Lacking a market presence on Wall
Street, they turned to Glyn Holton to help position them for the
financial services industry. Mr. Holton identified financial
engineering and risk management as suitable applications for their
high-speed parallel processing systems. He arranged introductions
to senior IT professionals at several New York banks. He worked
with Alternatech to implement a demonstration Monte Carlo
value-at-risk system. At industry conferences, Alternatech
conducted impressive speed tests, running the demo on both their
supercomputer and a standard workstation. |
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NYSEG is a regulated utility that is required to
deliver fixed price natural gas to retail customers. Losses
incurred in this business can be recovered from customers if the
company demonstrates to regulators that it pursued a sound hedging
program. Most natural gas is used during the Winter. NYSEG hedges
this exposure during the rest of the year by storing gas or
purchasing NYMEX futures. They asked Glyn Holton to help them
develop a sophisticated earnings-at-risk model that would
facilitate such hedging and satisfy regulators. He worked with
them to implement a model that took into account volatile prices,
correlations, seasonality, and uncertin demand. |
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With rapid development in risk management
techniques used by large banks, State Street's internal auditors
needed to update their skills. They asked Glyn Holton to run a
one-day program focusing on the most sophisticated market risk
and credit risk measurement models. Mr. Holton customized the
program for internal auditors, focusing on issues related to
systems documentation, verification, and validation. About fifteen
professionals attended. The program went so well that State Street
invited Mr. Holton back to run it again for their risk management
staff. |
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http://www.contingencyanalysis.com
consulting direct link:
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copyright © Contingency Analysis, 1996 -
current

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